AEM reports

Estimation of people living with HIV (PLHIV) in Sri Lanka has been conducted using estimation and projection package (EPP) and Spectrum since 2009. During 2016 also PLHIV estimation was carried out using EPP and spectrum software (version 5.571 in 2016). Spectrum software was developed by Avenir Health (www.avenirhealth.org) and the Estimates and Projections Package, which is developed by the East-West Center (www.eastwestcenter.org).

Objectives of the AEM workshop are to 1) explore the impact of alternative intervention packages on the future of epidemic, 2) compare these packages on terms of key policy variables such as infections averted, total deaths averted and relative costs and 3) construct Intervention and Impact Analysis Scenarios based on agreed coverage and intervention packages.

The AIDS Epidemic Modelling is a useful and practical exercise that enables HIV data experts to effectively use country specific up-to-date epidemiological evidence and real time data to develop reliable population size estimates and based on country specific best practices construct high impact prevention and treatment scenarios to optimize the program to maximize impact, identify and mitigate key data gaps and connect potential applications of the modelling approaches for strengthening the national HIV response.